SNS: Technology’s Second Asset / China’s Second Trick: Tariffs, Tech, and Real Estate, Part II

SNS: Technology’s Second Asset / China’s Second Trick: Tariffs, Tech, and Real Estate, Part II

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In This Issue
Week of 08/13/2018
Vol. 23 Issue 27

Technology’s Second Asset / China’s Second Trick: Tariffs, Tech, and Real Estate, Part II

  • Los Angeles
  • San Francisco
  • Seattle
  • Summary

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“In Part I of this discussion, we examined an already-slowing Chinese economy suddenly – and negatively – affected by the tariff battle with the US. We looked at the ties between tech growth and real-estate price growth in major West Coast US cities (“technology’s second asset”), and how China had “manufactured wealth” by the Chinese Communist Party appropriating land and becoming “real-estate rich” almost overnight. Finally, we looked at the real estate pricing history – and problems, and solutions – of the City of Vancouver, BC, the first West Coast city to experience real-estate-bubble investment by Chinese citizens, starting with the handover of Hong Kong the British.

Part I ended with this paragraph:

The much more dramatic [US] real-estate slowdown has happened in the last few months, caused by the impact of the US tariffs (both their announcement and their real effects) on the Chinese national economy, and by the Party’s political moves.

In this week’s discussion, we’ll look at additional West Coast cities, in an effort to see whether real-estate pricing has experienced a sudden turn based on the chronology of the US/China tariff battle, and therefore as a result of a pullback in Chinese investment.

This search should offer us the additional benefit of unearthing a rough estimate for how much Chinese investment has been responsible for recent bubbles in those real-estate markets – something not currently well documented or openly discussed.

To start, let’s look at a couple of other US markets, and then wind up with the hottest market for the last few years in the country: Seattle (just replaced this week by Nevada).

…”

 

 

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